Emerging Europe M&A report 2016/2017

02/02/2017

M&A market in Central-Eastern Europe boasts its highest value since 2013 as well as attractive assets for 2017

According to the “Emerging Europe M&A report 2016/2017” published by CMS in cooperation with EMIS, M&A deals in Central-Eastern Europe peaked in value in 2016 at €86.7bn. The analysis also shows that domestic and Asian investors have been increasingly active in the CEE region, creating a positive outlook for the region in 2017.

“Emerging Europe M&A Report 2016/2017”, jointly published by CMS and EMIS, shows trends in 15 CEE countries in 2016 combined with forecasts for 2017. The transaction volume of €87.7bn of the M&A market in CEE in 2016 is the highest result since 2013. With close to 2,000 transactions, the CEE region experienced a 7% decline in the volume of announced deals, but their median transaction value increased by €2mn to €11.2mn.

Radivoje Petrikic, Partner, CEE Corporate Practice, CMS, comments: The outstanding feature of 2016 in CEE was also the rapidly growing influence of Asian investment, most notably from China. The strong Chinese interest in the region is a relatively recent development, laying the foundations for a wave of investment into the future.

Helen Rodwell, Partner, CEE Corporate Practice, CMS, adds: Dealmakers acted cautiously as global economic growth remained weak, amid uncertainty about election and referendum results. Confidence picked up towards the end of 2016, setting the scene for robust M&A activity in 2017. There are many reasons to be positive about this year, including the potential pipeline of deals that already await completing.

CEE strongly fragmented, rising stars Czech Republic and Romania
According to CMS, a law firm that has worked on more deals inCEE countries in the last five years than any other law firm*, the varied performance of individual countries in 2016 reflected the fragmented nature of the region. Russia and Poland retained their first and second positions respectively in deal activity, despite drops in transaction numbers. The rising stars of the region were the Czech Republic and Romania.

*based on the EMIS League Tables 2012-2016

Austria among the five largest investors in CEE
In 2016 the UK and China doubled their spending in CEE to €5.2bn and €4.4bn respectively to become the second- and third-largest foreign investors in the region. The value of US spending in the region dropped by two-thirds; however, the US remained the largest foreign investor in CEE by the number of deals (88), followed by the UK (75), Germany (66), France (46) and Austria (37).

Real estate and construction most active industry in 2016, banking sector strong in 2017
Stefan Stoyanov, Global Head of M&A Database, EMIS: In 2017 we expect to see more deals in the banking sector. Low profits, the ongoing restructuring of Greek lenders, the billions in fees imposed on financial institutions, new sector regulations, and the Italian banking crisis are all certain to spur even more disposals of equity ownership and separate NPL portfolios across Emerging Europe.

Across the region, the most active sectors were real estate and construction, with 357 deals worth €17.8bn (89% increase in deal value) followed by manufacturing, telecoms and IT. 

Private Equity in CEE has reached maturity
The CEE markets witnessed increased PE interest in 2016 – the combined value of PE entries and exits more than doubled to €28.4bn. Overall, PE entries were double the exits. One sign of the region’s growing self-confidence is the number of deals which are not reliant on outside investors. Many domestic companies and private equity firms have reached a size where they can conduct cross-border deals of their own. Russia (575), the Czech Republic (159), Poland (146) and Turkey (112) were among the most active.

The report is available here for free download on our website.

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Emerging Europe M&A report 2016/2017
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