The United Arab Emirates (“UAE”) has continued its momentum in developing the renewables sector since the publication of this guide in 2020. While the significance of oil and gas in the UAE's growth story since the 1960s and 1970s remains undeniable, with around 30% of the country's GDP directly tied to these resources (as of July 2022), the UAE is now working to balance its traditional strengths with the growth of renewables, aiming for mutual enhancement rather than conflict. By way of example, in November 2022 the Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (“ADNOC”) announced its intention over the next five years to accelerate its target increase in crude output capacity and to spend $150 billion to increase oil and gas production (an uplift of its spending targets from $127 billion).
This pursuit of balance is reflected in the UAE policies. Despite being a prominent global oil producer and an OPEC member, the UAE took a remarkable step in committing to achieve net-zero carbon emissions by 2050, making it the first country in the Middle East and North Africa to do so. Not only has the establishment of a renewables pathway begun, but the shift on the ground in respect of projects has also started.
The UAE Energy Strategy 2050 (“Energy Strategy 2050”), introduced in 2017 and further updated in July 2023, outlines a roadmap. Its first phase, running to 2030, aims to triple the capacity of renewable energy, increase the installed clean energy capacity from 14.2 GW to 19.8 GW, and increase the share of clean energy in the total energy mix to 30%. As a result of the UAE having both UAE-wide (Federal) and individual Emirate legislations and policies, there are also a variety of Emirate-level policies in respect of renewable energy. For example, Abu Dhabi intends to generate half of its power requirements from clean energy sources by 2030. Further, in July 2023, the Emirate unveiled its Climate Change Strategy 2023-2027 which aims to implement 81 initiatives and 12 key projects to reduce Abu Dhabi’s 2027 emissions by 22% compared to 2016 levels.
Mr. Majid Jafar, UAE businessman and CEO of UAE-based Crescent Petroleum, has spoken about the fact that if carbon emissions policies are to be lasting, they must be tailored to each country. Discussing the Energy Strategy 2050, Mr. Jafar commented that this looks to combine continued use of natural gas with cleaner sources (e.g. solar power and nuclear energy) to “maintain energy resilience while reducing carbon emissions…current events demonstrate that energy policies need to deliver affordable and reliable energy supplies to withstand supply shocks and other challenges. We have witnessed how lower winds in Europe impacted wind generation and how conflict created oil and gas supply and price shocks. The world must account for such challenges while delivering reductions in carbon emissions because an energy transition without energy security will not succeed”.
Looking forward, the UAE will host COP28 in Dubai from November to December 2023. This event has sparked controversy due to the appointment of Sultan Al Jaber as the president of COP28, a role he concurrently holds as the CEO of ADNOC. Nonetheless, this development underscores active engagement and the growing awareness among influential figures in the oil and gas industry regarding the importance of renewable energy.
Initiatives, and to a degree also regulation, have opened up a variety of opportunities for both public and private investment. Significant projects have been kickstarted in this sector, perhaps in direct correlation with the influence and impact that Federal and Emirate incentives are having on the development of the industry. In order to fully capitalise on this and unlock its potential, it will be instrumental that regulatory frameworks are sufficiently developed and at a quick-enough pace.
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